In the current market conditions can a value investor do anything at all? I mean can he/she buy ?

Here..at the cost of disappointing some of the value investors – the purists..

  • markets are at a price when chance of making losses are higher, be prepared
  • assess the value of a company in TODAY’s conditions – Graham’s 1972 formula CANNOT hold now
  • compare pe and dividend yield to the bond interest rates
  • margin for safety is no longer a constant
  • it is difficult to see a MOAT for a long period of time
  • Google, Amazon are today’s favorites
  • GE was a favorite 20 years ago – things change
  • winning may be many small winnings, and those ‘big’ winnings may not happen
  • if the margin of safety is lesser, RETURNS too will be lesser
  • as the margin of safety reduces, the need to shift to newer companies more often
  • if you trade more often – you need to worry about trading costs
  • if you need to trade more often dividends will not matter
  • dividends need to be re-invested to get better value
  • reinvestment risk is high – so finding a new opportunity very often is difficult, but not impossible
  • growth is tough if you do not take Quality into account

 

more will follow…

 

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